Unions round-up: Manchester health workers prepare to strike over lack of overtime pay

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
Some 50 workers who are in the Unite union joined the rally at the Maudsley Hospital on Thursday

Some 50 striking NHS workers joined the rally at the Maudsley Hospital on the last strike earlier this year

Unison union ­members at four hospitals in Greater Manchester are on strike this week in a dispute over pay for covering staff shortages.

More than 350 employees at Northern Care Alliance Foundation Trust (NCA), including nurses, clinical support workers and ­housekeepers, will walk out this Monday, Wednesday and Friday.

This comes after an offer to “resolve” the dispute was withdrawn by bosses before discussions could take place.

The row centres on the trust’s use of an agency called NHS Professionals (NHSP) to manage overtime.

When covering staff ­shortages, workers are entitled to time-and-a-half pay.

However, NHSP have reportedly paid staff less than they would on a normal shift, with some missing out on more than £80 a shift.

With cash-strapped NHS trusts trying to make savings by slashing spending, much of the cuts have been to jobs. It has put massive pressure on the workers that remain to meet the demand.

Unison north west regional organiser Kevin Dolan said, “Through our current industrial action, staff have identified that their colleagues are burnt out due to understaffing in theatres.

Our members are ­working significant extra hours to cover sickness, fatigue and strategic understaffing.

“Understaffing pushes staff towards working extra hours at lower rates of pay, which they do because they are passionate about patient safety. The trust can alleviate this issue but choose not to.”

Workers across NCA ­hospitals work tirelessly to provide high-quality care.

However, the burden of responsibility for the growing NHS financial crisis should not be allowed to fall on the workforce.

  • Strikers will hold picket lines on Monday and Friday at all four hospitals. Wednesday’s mass rally assembles at 10.30am in Buile Hill Park car park, Eccles Old Road, Salford, M6 8GL to march to Salford Royal Hospital

Strikes return to the Slam

Unite union ­members at the South London and Maudsley (Slam) NHS Foundation Trust are set to strike this week over pay and conditions.

The estate workers—­electricians, decorators, ­joiners, painters and ­plumbers—work at sites including Bethlem Royal, Lambeth, Lewisham and Maudsley hospitals.

Some are being paid at band 3 or 4 on the NHS pay scales, despite doing the same work as others who are being paid at band 5.

To add insult to injury, the two top ­earners at the trust take home £400,000 between them.

Some 97 percent of Unite union members voted to walk out earlier this year and they have so far taken five days of action.

They are set to strike from Tuesday afternoon until next Monday morning.

And, they have further dates already announced from 1 to 7 September, if the dispute is not resolved.

  • Offer solidarity to the strikers on their picket line at the Maudsley Hospital, Denmark Hill, London, SE5 8AZ on 26 to 28 August, from 11.30am to 2pm
  • Send solidarity messages to [email protected]
  • Donate to the strike fund— Ref: CEF strike, Account name: UNITE LE/7105L, Sort code: 60-83-01, Account number: 20469210

Bognor Butlin’s workers tell bosses to bog off

Workers at Butlin’s holiday resort in Bognor Regis, Sussex, are set to walk out over the busy August bank holiday this weekend.

The resort safety officers are members of the UVW union. They plan to strike this Friday to Sunday, the 4-7 September, 10‑15 September and continuously from 21 September unless their demands are met.

They are responsible for dealing with incidents including violence, medical emergencies and lost children. Yet understaffing and faulty equipment leaves them unable to do their jobs properly.

Resort safety officer Adam said, “Every day, we dedicate ourselves fully to our work, consistently going above and beyond to embody the Butlin’s values of creating smiles, getting stuck in, and caring for one another.

“However, in recent months, it has become sadly clear that we are not being listened to or adequately supported, particularly when responding to serious incidents.”

The workers are also asking for a pay rise to £14 per hour and repayment of wages they say were unlawfully deducted.


Workers to kick off new academic year with strikes

Workers at the University of Nottingham have announced 67 days of strikes throughout the autumn.

The UCU union members were on strike throughout the whole of June and July.

They now plan to walk out on 30 September and 1 October followed by a sustained period of action from 5 October onwards.

The second phase of the university’s Future Nottingham plan will mean course closures and redundancies that will undermine the future of the university if it goes ahead.

The UCU says the restructure is not just cruel but also unnecessary as the institution now says it is in surplus.

But UCU union leaders are asleep at the wheel when it comes to declaring a national dispute.

Bosses’ organisation Ucea offered a pay rise of 2 percent for university leaders this year. Five unions representing university workers ran a consultative ballot of members.

Nearly 70 percent of UCU members voted to reject the offer but turnout was just 30 percent. Unite members voted to reject by nearly 90 percent. Members of the EIS and Unison also voted to reject. The GMB has not released its results yet.

But the UCU higher education committee is not set to discuss its next steps until 9 October. It’s a car crash for members. Bosses are not implementing the 2 percent uplift until Ucea receives a formal response from the unions.

UCU also appears to have abandoned plans to launch a trade dispute with the secretary of state over redundancies. UCU members in the universities are being left without leadership even as branches prepare for strikes.


Striking over safety at the V&A museum

PCS union members at the Victoria and Albert (V&A) museum in London have overwhelmingly voted for action. They are demanding management give them a real living wage.

But they are also taking action over the climate crisis. Workers want heat mitigation measures put in place.

This includes a policy of closing access to the museum for the public at any temperature above 30 degrees for workers’ and visitors’ safety.

Join their demonstration on Wednesday 2 September from 8am at the V&A South Kensington, Cromwell Road, London SW7 2RL

…and on the East Midlands Railway

RMT union members have called fresh strikes at East Midlands Railway (EMR) over safety concerns with a new fleet of trains.

It says the Class 810 Aurora fleet trains have a “significant number” of faults.

Workers are set to strike for 48 hours from this Sunday and for 24 hours on Wednesday 16 September.

Workers are also continuing their action short of strike, including refusing to work on Class 810 trains.

Recent derailment incidents have heightened attention on network safety and infrastructure vulnerabilities from extreme weather.

No one should be forced to work on trains while these faults exist.

…and at City of Glasgow College

EIS-Fela education union members at City of Glasgow College held a rally last week as part of their ongoing action over health and safety.

The college lecturers teach welding and fabrication. They are in dispute over management’s refusal to provide safety equipment in the form of air fed masks.

The workers say this puts both them and their students at risk of inhaling harmful fumes.

EIS-Fela members who teach welding at the college have been taking action, including several rounds of strikes, since late March.


Electric strike at energy regulator

Workers for the Ofgem energy regulator kicked off three days of action on Monday over pay, job security and conditions.

The strike has been planned to coincide with Ofgem’s announcement on Wednesday of a new energy price cap.

Last year, the PCS union members won a 9.9 percent pay rise over two years. But management have drawn out negotiations over implementing this.

Letters: From far right assault to anti-racist success in Falkirk

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Frankie Murden
The Falkirk Unity demonstration

The Falkirk Unity demonstration

On 16 August last year, anti-racists stood for the first time in front of Hotel Cladhan in Falkirk, which was housing asylum seekers.

I don’t think anyone imagined we would face a 1,000-strong far right crowd on the other side of the road. It was the biggest far right protest in Scottish history.

Over the past year, the far right have hounded Palestine demonstrations and tried to intimidate refugees.

This year on the anniversary, the sights in Falkirk were much more hopeful. Falkirk For All, together with Stand Up To Racism, organised a unity demonstration on 15 August.

It celebrated a year of anti-racist and anti‑fascist resistance. In this time, we have been able to significantly reduce the size of far right demonstrations.

Built through weeks of campaigning and supported by multiple trade unions, the demonstration was a substantial success.

Some 450 people marched on Saturday carrying banners and placards with messages of resistance and unity. A “Falkirk United Against Racism” banner was prominent at the front of the march.

The far right held their own protest at the—now empty—Hotel Cladhan. While some of them separated to attempt to disrupt our demonstration, they didn’t muster more than 20 and we saw them off.

This success comes after a year-long fight. Multiple demonstrations have been built, bringing hundreds of people into the anti-racist movement and rooting it locally.

On one occasion 300 people rallied with 24 hours’ notice to protect the hotel for eight hours.

Crucially, we were able to break softer racists away from the fascists.

The 15 August 2026 proves once again that we—the anti-racists and anti‑fascists—are the majority.

Sam Osiecka, Edinburgh


Hammer Zionism

I am writing as a season ticket holder at West Ham football club.

The Israeli footballer Manor Solomon recently joined the club from Tottenham Hotspur.

It was sickening to hear other Hammers fans chanting, “Manor Solomon’s on my mind and he hates Palestine” during his first match.

Solomon has consistently used social media to support Israel in its genocide of Palestinians.

Following the Zionist state’s brutal attack on the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza, he shared a post that said Palestinian fighters had killed their own people.

The club called on supporters to stop singing this song, calling it “offensive and divisive”. But this isn’t strong enough.

The chant should be condemned. Leeds United got it right when Solomon played for them calling the song a hate crime.

Solomon shouldn’t have been signed. A West Ham fan launched a petition when the club were considering the signing, urging the board of directors not to go ahead. But the hierarchy of our club didn’t listen.

We must continue to chant, “Free, free Palestine.”

Steve West, Edinburgh


Don’t let them erase the reality of empire

In the US lying is becoming mandatory, for example through a refusal to discuss the crimes of slavery.

This is just as in much of the British educational establishment, where there’s a demand for “balanced” teaching about the British Empire.

What “balance” can you give to an empire that executed Indians by tying them across the barrel of a cannon and blowing them to pieces?

Or in Malaysia after the Second World War, massacring villagers, then making up stories that they were “communist insurgents”.

What’s happened in the US under Donald Trump is an extreme version of “American exceptionalism”.

The far right would like to see a more extreme version of “British exceptionalism” over here.

In Britain, the empire is portrayed as sometimes somehow “beneficial” to the countries pillaged by it.

Liberals want all that erased from history—hence they don’t talk about it—but the far right want to bring it back.

Merlin Reader, London


Labour is a guilty party

Equalities minister Bridget Phillipson has said that racism and sexism have become normalised in Britain.

She slammed the Conservative Party and Reform UK for their racism and accused them of not taking violence against women seriously.

But she resolutely avoided admitting Labour’s part in this.

Keir Starmer has peddled racism and shifted mainstream politics to the right.

We should demand more than hollow words.

Faye Young, Liverpool

Heather’s ICR strike diary

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
Strikers met with a group of Palestinian students and their teachers

Strikers met with a group of Palestinian students and their teachers

Strikers from the Institute of Cancer Research were invited by Manchester and Trafford Trades Councils for a bumper meeting last week, bringing together strikers from across the city.

We went expecting to give and receive solidarity. What we didn’t quite expect was to hear the details of our own dispute mirrored back to us.

Struggles are shared not just by workers in healthcare and education, but transport and hospitality too.

When we visited Manchester Royal Infirmary (MRI), we found some of the same grievances—pay erosion, but also the removal of canteens, and charging staff for parking.

Strikes at the ICR have already meant the plan to charge for parking has been dropped.

Sally, a theatre nurse at the Northern Care Alliance, is on her fourth round of action just to be paid the nationally agreed rate for overtime.

Currently, and bizarrely, staff get paid less than normal for working extra shifts.

Sally told us how management cite “external forces” in negotiations, a bogeyman to blame whenever it suits them.

We’ve seen this at the ICR. Who actually holds the financial envelope? Is it the CEO, the CFO, or the trustees? The story changes constantly, and we’re within our rights to demand to know exactly who we’re negotiating with.

We heard from inspirational and brave workers from the Kimpton Clocktower Hotel on strike over pay and conditions. Neither the hotel workers nor ICR workers have been on strike before.

We also heard from John who told us about 77 newly qualified psychologists in north west Manchester. The taxpayer has paid £20 million to train them, but now they have no jobs to go to.

Like us, they were not used to talking on the megaphone or to journalists, and like us, they are learning the ropes of activism, one coloured pen and petition at a time.

Visa costs and support are another big fight for all workers. The ICR has removed visa renewal support by stealth, despite the ICR employing people of over 60 nationalities.

Meanwhile MRI members found themselves fighting to retain staff whose earnings are just £63 below the visa eligibility threshold. We must stand together to protect our wonderful and valued international staff.

We all face the same story of erosion, outsourcing, “reviews” or “consultations” always scheduled for some point in the distant future. Because managers learn from one another how to squeeze workers for every last penny.

Just like bosses, the workers must learn from each other too. There’s power in different disputes coming together, not just for donations, but for tactics, language and even picket line playlists.

Before ICR strikers balloted, we were inspired by strikers at Imperial College and Health Services Laboratories, who’ve walked this road before us.

Laura told us about the recent win by the AQA exam board workers, who secured 13 percent for their lowest paid workers. What an inspiration! Now we are out on indefinite strike, we show the road for those who follow.

Delegation work is a lost art, and we’re relearning it in real time. This is the solidarity tour tradition, dusted off and put back to work.

Our visit to Manchester ended on a high note, as we met a group of young Palestinian students and their teachers. They left their cramped refugee camp in Nablus for a few days to “breathe some fresh air away from the daily exposure to tear gas”, and came for a visit to Manchester and Bolton.

They ask that we help by sharing their stories and, when possible, donate to help them rebuild all the vital infrastructure that has been destroyed by the settlers.

And so we see the other face of the fight—money is being removed from the pockets of workers to fuel wars and displacement.

We are all fighting the same fight, whether our working day is caring for patients, pulling pints or running experiments, whether we are just starting out at work, or retired legends with 40-plus years of experience. Solidarity to all!

What you can do to support the ICR strike

  • Use the collection sheet at work, or at a union or campaign meeting.
  • Circulate the crowdfunder: www.gofundme.com/f/cancer-researchers-get-a-fair-pay-deal/
  • Organise a donation from your trade union branch. Reference: ICR-Strike Fund. Account name: Unite LE/524 Branch. Sort Code: 608301. Account number: 30010808
  • Invite ICR strikers to your next meeting.
  • Organise for strikers to come to your town or city in a delegation.

Far right scumbags out for all of us

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Patrick Meusel
Reform UK are at the centre of a shift in far right politics (Photo: reformparty_uk/X)

Reform UK are at the centre of a shift in far right politics (Photo: reformparty_uk/X)

Reform UK has a racist plan. The far right party plans to deport hundreds of thousands if it ever gets elected. It aims to bully around 2 million more into leaving their homes, families, communities and jobs.

Reform UK wants to stop migrants from ever being allowed to settle or to claim any support.

And, it is shifting even further to the right.

Reform UK claims to “protect British culture”­—its idea of British culture is “built on Christian values”.

At the heart of those “Christian values” is the family. Suella Braverman, Reform UK’s equality spokesperson, will rip up the Equality Act and replace it with the Women and Motherhood Protection Act.

Braverman said, “A Reform UK government will be the most pro-woman, pro-mother and pro-family government in British history.”

Braverman is scrapping women’s legal protections against discrimination, then bringing a few back—but only if the women are mothers.

The Motherhood Act is deeply sexist. It promotes the idea that women are valued only for giving birth and that it is a woman’s job to bring up children.

Leading members of the far right party, such as Danny Kruger MP and head of policy James Orr, have long been muttering about family values and denigrating gay parents.

Kruger wants to “reset Britain’s sexual culture” by undoing the sexual revolution of the 1960s.

Orr is coming after gay marriage, which, he says, is not “real marriage”.

Now, Reform UK MP Richard Tice has ramped up this nonsense. He says the party’s social housing policy will be reserved for “married couples” with children.

Party leader Nigel Farage wants to make it harder for women to get abortions and Kruger says women don’t have “an absolute right to bodily autonomy”.

These Reform UK scumbags have a vision of society in which marriage is a prison and divorce is something shameful.

It is one where women are forced to turn to backstreet abortionists, where white women’s lives revolve around breeding, gay people are back in the closet and trans+ people don’t exist.

And they are hypocrites. They get divorced and live with their lovers. But they want to stop us living as we choose.

Their fake Christianity has nothing to do with beliefs and principles—it is all about sucking up to the far right in the US.

Reform UK is after our friends and families. It is after our freedom to love who we want. And, it is after our right to control our bodies.

Reform UK is a threat to us all.


Resist Burnham’s backtracking 

Andy Burnham promised the “biggest change in 40 years” when he was sworn in as prime minister at the end of July.

But in the six weeks since, he has backtracked so much he’s worn a hole in the carpet of Number 10 North.

He promised Britain “the biggest council housebuilding programme since the postwar period”.

But, on Monday, it was revealed that of the 700,000 homes to be built, only 60 percent will be socially controlled. And he’s slashed the planned funding down to only a quarter of his promised £39 billion.

Alongside pledges to end rough sleeping, Burnham’s housing promises are starting to look like little more than a facade.

And, Burnham has shelved plans to bring the privatised Thames Water back into public control. He has left the failing company to appoint new administrators, hike up bills and rinse people.

In the coming weeks, disability benefits, youth unemployment and migration will be discussed under the new Labour leader.

We need more than banning online subscription traps and booking fees. The cost of living crisis is set to worsen this autumn as the US war against Iran continues.

The working class should hold Burnham accountable—and demand much more.

El Niño threatens devastation

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
El Niño events bring more storms and heavy rainfall in the Americas (Pic: rawpixel)

El Niño events bring more storms and floods in the Americas (Pic: rawpixel)

The world is facing the strongest El Niño weather effect in recorded history.

The weather effect is set to devastate global food supplies. The World Bank has estimated that rice production could fall by up to 50 percent in affected areas.

Climate scientist James Hansen wrote in a newsletter, “It is off the charts. Usual measures of El Niño have blown past prior record levels in the period with good data.”

The El Nino Southern Oscillation (Enso) is a pattern of warming and cooling of the Pacific Ocean. El Niño specifically refers to the warming phase of this process.

These events have a huge influence on global weather patterns by disrupting the movement of hot air across the globe.

In Asia, Australia and the Amazon, El Niño can cause droughts and fires. In the Americas it can cause floods and storms. In Africa and Europe, it can cause both.

The Enso is a natural cycle. El Niño events happen every two to seven years, but in recent years they have become stronger and more frequent.

The exact effects of El Niño are hard to predict.

Scientists are unsure if a warming climate has worsened the El Niño itself as the Enso can be hard to study. What is clear is that climate change is worsening the effects of El Niño, and in turn El Niño is driving climate breakdown.

The National Centre for Atmospheric Science in Leeds warns, “Rising background temperatures due to human-driven climate change mean that when El Niño occurs, it can contribute to more intense heat and more extreme conditions.”

The El Niño could send the Amazon rainforest to a “tipping point”—an irreversible cascade of ecosystem breakdown.

An article in the scientific journal Nature says, “Rainforest would give way to savannah and degraded woodland over decades.”

This could wreck global weather systems. The global ecosystem is increasingly unstable and unpredictable.

Natural weather variations can disrupt an already delicate balance, with catastrophic effects for the planet and for us.

London bus strikers say ‘we are not compromising any more’

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
Arriva North London bus strikers say ‘don’t stew the crew’

Arriva North London bus strikers say ‘don’t stew the crew’ (Pic: Guy Smallman)

North London bus drivers are taking the fight to bus company Arriva over conditions that should be ­unacceptable in any workplace.

More than 1,500 Unite union ­members are striking to demand all buses are fitted with air conditioning.

Planned strikes were temporarily suspended last week to ballot members on an offer. But workers rejected it and the strikes are back on.

Some 587 union members across the eight garages voted against, with 501 voting in favour.

On the picket line at Wood Green, a striker told Socialist Worker that proposals included a plan to install air conditioning ahead of summer 2027.

But no precise date was given for when that would be.

“We have been calling for them to do something about the extreme heat—not for days, but for months, years even,” they said.

Climate change means that this isn’t an issue that’s going away. It’s getting hotter every year.

“They’re saying they’ll fix it by next summer but it’s not good enough.

“We’ve had older people in their eighties getting on buses.

“We tell the company it’s not safe for people to be on buses this hot and they still don’t fix the problem.

“This time we’re saying solve the problems and then we’ll stop striking. Strikes show the strength of our feelings.”

Two days of strikes forced an offer out of Arriva—it shows workers can demonstrate their power from the picket lines.

Another striker who has worked for Arriva for 25 years told Socialist Worker that the recent ballot ­confirms that workers understand the stakes. And they are prepared to act together to protect themselves and their passengers.

He explained that by rejecting the offer, drivers had shown that they will not be pressured into accepting inadequate solutions.

“They make these promises year on year and nothing changes. So we’re not going to sign up to another false promise with no fixed ­commitment for when they plan to fix the ­conditions of the buses.

“Arriva has the money to fix the problem. This is a multi-million pound company we’re talking about. It’s not a small business.

“This dispute is showing them that we are serious and that they are going to have to listen to us,” he said.

“We’re here because the buses are not in a condition that is safe for us to drive or for passengers to use. But there are so many other issues.

“Next we’ll be out over pay,” he said.

Meanwhile, bosses are not feeling the discomfort brought about by heat.

Another striker told Socialist Worker that, a few weeks before going on maternity leave, she had worked in the Arriva offices.

“There was air conditioning in the offices and they have heating for when it gets cold,” she said.

“They are up there while we’re ­sitting in 40 degrees, dripping in sweat. At what point do you say enough is enough?”

She added, “We’re not ­compromising anymore. We want the best offer we can get—and it wasn’t that one.

“That’s why I voted no. Why should we have to wait a year for them to do something about this?”

If Arriva wants the disruption to stop, it should listen to the result of the ballot and give drivers what they are demanding—buses that are safe to drive in, regardless of the ­temperature outside.

Drivers are set to strike until early on Friday this week and have further strike days planned stretching into October.

How Lowe can he stoop?

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
Rupert Lowe MP of Restore Britain

Rupert Lowe in his constituency (Pic: @RupertLowe10 on X)

Rupert Lowe, MP for Great Yarmouth, makes a great deal of donating his Westminster salary to charities in his constituency.

He can afford to. Lowe, the leader of the far right Restore Britain party, is already a multi-millionaire—his net worth is reported to be around £30 million.

And, as revealed this week by the Guardian newspaper, he makes nearly as much from posting on Elon Musk’s “X” social media platform as he does for representing his constituents in parliament.

Since the start of the year, Lowe has raked in £932 per hour for his posts on X. This is up from the £377 an hour he averaged last year.

And his hourly rate is rising. Since the start of June, it’s hit an astonishing £1,476.

Premium subscribers to X, like Lowe, are paid based on how their posts perform.

And Musk, the owner of X, has long been a fan of Lowe, amplifying his posts.

When Lowe was still a member of Reform UK, Musk threw his support behind him after falling out with Nigel Farage.

Then, after Lowe split from Farage’s party to set up Restore Britain, Musk posted, “It will win. It must win. To Save Britain,” and “Join Rupert Lowe in Restore Britain, because he is the only one who will actually do it!”

Lowe is not the only far right figure Musk promotes online. In the past he’s posted in support of fascist Tommy Robinson. “It is time for the English to ally with the hard men, like Tommy Robinson, and fight for their survival or they shall surely all die,” he wrote. 

If Lowe’s average earnings for 2026 continue as they’ve started, he is set to earn around £93,000—nearly the same as the current MP’s salary of £98,599 a year.

In response to the Guardian’s piece, Lowe posted on X, “If I wanted to make money, I would not be in politics. I donate my entire net MP salary to local charities in my constituency—being a politician is the most expensive job I’ve ever had.”

This allows Lowe to pose as an anti-establishment outsider who can claim to be different from other politicians. 

But it also helps him fund his racist political project.

In April 2025, the “local” charity that Lowe donated his salary to was his own “independent rape gang inquiry”.

Lowe’s report cynically exploited the testimonies of survivors of child sexual abuse to push Islamophobia and anti-migrant racism.

Earlier this month, in Thetford, a town not far from Rupert Lowe’s constituency, far right thugs ran riot for three nights, targeting migrants and refugees.  

And earlier this year, Lowe, along with Farage and Robinson, used X to fan the flames of racism in Belfast and Southampton.

These are the real world consequences of Lowe’s online activities.

Oil drilling wrecks the planet and makes us all poorer

Posted on: August 25th, 2026 by Camilla Royle
Campaigners from fossil free London demand that Andy Burnham says no to North Sea oil

Protesters from Fossil Free London demand that Andy Burnham says no to North Sea oil (Pic: @fossilfreeLDN)

It is a fallacy that North Sea oil will make our bills cheaper. That’s the conclusion of a new paper submitted to the consultation on whether drilling should go ahead at the Rosebank and Jackdaw oil and gas fields.

Research from Imperial College London’s Centre for Environmental Policy shows that the economic harm caused by Rosebank and Jackdaw would outweigh any economic benefit.

The research shows that future damages caused by the developments could be as high as £483 billion. Even the lowest estimate of £170 billion would be more than six times the projected economic value of the developments.

Fossil fuel company Adura’s own figures says the developments would boost the economy by £28.7 billion.

This comes after this summer’s heatwaves knocked an estimated £4.4 billion out of the British economy.

The report uses data released by oil companies themselves as part of planning applications, as well as past research on the social cost of carbon dioxide to paint a complete picture of the economic effects of the Rosebank and Jackdaw developments.

Its estimates don’t take into account the impact of climate-related deaths from sea level rises and extreme weather, which means the actual cost could be even higher.

The report also notes that by 2030, when Rosebank and Jackdaw are supposed to start operations, the estimates for the social cost of carbon could be out of date. The cumulative effect of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will likely have raised the cost.

The report says that the worst damages will be felt by the poorest.

And who will reap the economic benefits? The report is clear. “In all cases, the returns from Jackdaw and Rosebank are likely to accrue to those already well-off by many measures,” it says.  

The developers of the Rosebank and Jackdaw sites are privately owned companies, mostly investment funds. Equinor—one of the developers of Rosebank—is mostly owned by the Norwegian state.

As the oil and gas obtained from these sites will be sold on the open market, it will have very little impact on British energy costs. And, as the North Sea is a “mature basin” with declining reserves, new oil and gas developments are only short-term ventures and not long-term investments in jobs and the economy.

Richard Sulley of the University of Sheffield said, “Expanding oil and gas production in the North Sea is not just an environmental crime but also economically illiterate.”

This report demolishes the fossil fuel industry’s lies about oil and gas. Granting new licences for drilling in the North Sea will contribute to the warming climate, worsen the extreme weather the world is already facing and worsen food shortages. And it won’t even have the economic benefits that the industry claims.

Andy Burnham should reject the applications for the Rosebank and Jackdaw developments—and trade unions should break from the oil industry’s propaganda and end their backing for North Sea oil.